How annual bird migration could spread avian flu (2024)

Illustration of birds flying

Scientists are still trying to understand exactly how a virulent bird flu is spreading through farms in the United States, but one pattern is clear: poultry and cows risk exposure to sick wild birds migrating across the Americas.

One way to understand the relationship between migrating birds and agricultural livestock is to look at the path of the mallard duck which has the most recorded avian flu infections.

Map legend explaining the below map that shows the seasonal migration of the mallard duck. The ducks are represented by gray dots on the map. The more condensed the gray, the more ducks are in that area. When the ducks pass over chicken farms, the gray dots turn red. The darkness of the red depends on how many chickens are in that county.

January

Mallards spend winters across the United States. As they migrate north for the breeding season, the mallards pass over chicken farms big and small.

April

They may use farms as a water and food source throughout their journey.

“Outbreaks among poultry are more likely to happen where migratory waterfowl are present,” said Claire Teitelbaum, a researcher with Bay Area Environmental Research Institute.

July

In the breeding season, birds return to cooler landscapes that may still contain viruses from a previous season.

A virus can persist for weeks or months in colder environments, meaning birds could contract multiple virus variants. Those variants can undergo genetic changes that enable the virus to infect new species.

September

Viruses travel along bird migration routes or “flyways,” transferring from one wild bird to another.

While only the mallard’s path is shown here, migratory bird flyways cover the entire United States.

December

Winter comes back around and the ducks make their way south.

They once again fly over farms across North America seeking warmer weather and possibly carrying new viral variants.

The concern is not just the beginning and end of the birds’ journey. They stop to take breaks along the way, sometimes for months at a time, in what scientists call “stopover locations.”

“They’re going to wetlands,” said Mike Casazza, a wildlife biologist for the U.S. Geological Survey. “But now a major food source for the waterfowl is the surrounding agricultural landscape that provides grains and invertebrates and other opportunities for them to feed because that’s what replaced the wetlands that they used to have.”

Vast swaths of wetlands were converted for agricultural use in the early 1900s, reducing places migratory waterfowl can congregate. Drawn to the remaining wetlands, waterfowl can venture to nearby farms where they risk spreading avian flu via their contaminated saliva and feces.

An illustrated farm landscape points out various ways wild birds may be attracted to farmland and spread disease through their saliva and feces.

Eaves, rafters, ledges and overhangs can provide areas to build nests.

Uncovered garbage like carcasses and spoiled food can attract scavenging.

Even a small amount of spilled grain is a full meal for a wild bird.Farm retention ponds provide habitat for wild birds.

Shallow pools of standing water in tire ruts can attract waterfowl.

Walking in or near standing water might contaminate workers’ boots.

Most bird flu transmission to livestock happens indirectly, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), usually from workers’ boots or equipment that have been contaminated with wild bird feces or saliva carrying the virus. But hospitable farmland increases the likelihood of direct contact between livestock and wild birds, furthering the need for “biosecurity” or efforts to prevent viral spread. Most industrial farms have strict biosecurity measures.

USDA posts guidance for farmers to keep their livestock safe from infection. The key is to limit water and food that birds are attracted to.

Almost 200 wild bird species carrying bird flu have been recorded by USDA. Mallard ducks top the list and are a focus in the agency’s surveillance program. These ducks and other waterfowl are particularly resistant to the virus, allowing them to carry it far distances.

Top ten wild bird species detected with avian flu

A bar chart of the ten bird species with most recorded high pathogenic avian flu infections shows Mallards leading with 1,449 infections detected as of May 7, 2024. In descending order follow Canada geese 750 recorded infections, Green-winged teal 641, Black vulture 586, Blue-winged teal 575, Snow goose 575, Bald eagle 551, Red-tailed hawk 377, American wigeon 361 and lastly Great horned owl 345.

The WHO has expressed concern that migration could lead to spread of the deadly strain circulating in North America to other countries.

Some migratory birds like Snow Geese travel as far north as Russia. Blue-winged Teal can migrate all the way to South America.

Geographic range of top infected migratory birds

Six small maps show the annual geographic range of the Mallard, Canada goose, Green-winged teal, Blue-winged teal, Snow goose and Bald eagle. The mallard is found from Alaska to northern Mexico. The Canada goose is found from Alaska to the southern U.S. The Green-winged teal goes up into Russia and south into much of Mexico. The Blue-winged teal is found in the southern portion of Alaska all the way down into South America. The Snow Goose migrates into Russia and goes as far south as central Mexico. The Bald Eagle’s presence extends from Alaska to the southern U.S.

The U.S. government in late March reported cases of the disease in dairy cows in Texas and said one person who had contact with cows had been infected and suffered conjunctivitis, commonly known as pink eye. In a preliminary report, government scientists indicated a wild bird was likely responsible for the initial introduction of the virus to a cow. Nine states have since detected bird flu among dairy cattle.

Scientists at USDA are still trying to understand which variants are circulating through cows to determine how avian flu is spreading. It has long been on the list of viruses with pandemic potential, and any expansion to a new mammal species is concerning.

As mallards and other wild birds travel north into Canada for the summer, Canadian officials are urging precaution among dairy farms to prevent the spread already racing through the United States.

Sources

USDA Census of Agriculture; Statistics Canada Census of Agriculture; U.S. Geological Survey; Emergence and interstate spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) in dairy cattle; Pathways for avian influenza virus spread: GPS reveals wild waterfowl in commercial livestock facilities and connectivity with the natural wetland landscape

2022 Weekly mallard abundance data from eBird

Fink, D., T. Auer, A. Johnston, M. Strimas-Mackey, S. Ligocki, O. Robinson, W. Hochachka, L. Jaromczyk, C. Crowley, K. Dunham, A. Stillman, I. Davies, A. Rodewald, V. Ruiz-Gutierrez, C. Wood. 2023. eBird Status and Trends, Data Version: 2022; Released: 2023. Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Ithaca, New York. https://doi.org/10.2173/ebirdst.2022

This material uses data from the eBird Status and Trends Project at the Cornell Lab of Ornithology, eBird.org. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Cornell Lab of Ornithology.

Additional production work by

Ben Kellerman

Edited by

Julia Wolfe, Caroline Humer and Bill Berkrot

How annual bird migration could spread avian flu (2024)
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